南海北部主要礁栖鱼类分布格局及其对海洋牧场选址启示

Distribution pattern of major reef-associated fish species and their implications for the site selection of marine ranching in the northern South China Sea

  • 摘要:
    目的 研究南海北部主要礁栖鱼类分布格局及其对海洋牧场选址的启示。
    方法 基于1963—1965年、1978—1979年、1997—1999年、2006—2007年和2019—2023年5个时期在南海北部(海南岛以东)开展的共12个航次底拖网渔业资源调查数据,结合底质类型、水深、底层水温、底层盐度、硝酸盐、磷酸盐、硅酸盐、溶解氧、浮游植物、初级生产力、水底光强和pH等12种环境因子,运用MaxEnt模型模拟勒氏蓑鲉、细鳞三棱鲈、双峰三棱箱鲀、朴蝴蝶鱼和单棘豹鲂鮄等5种南海北部优势礁栖鱼类的适生区分布,并识别其关键的环境驱动因子。
    结果 南海北部5种优势礁栖鱼类的高适生区集中于粤东-珠江口水深100~200 m、底质为泥沙-沙泥的海域。模型预测精度极高,其平均受试者特征曲线下面积值(AUC)达0.96。磷酸盐、硅酸盐、水底光强与底质类型为影响其分布的主导因子。
    结论 本研究首次验证了磷、硅营养盐对南海北部礁栖鱼类分布的限制作用,提出“生态匹配-营养缓冲-气候韧性”三原则的海洋牧场选址新框架,突破了传统工程导向的选址逻辑,为南海北部渔业资源养护与生态牧场建设提供新的视角。

     

    Abstract: To investigate the distribution patterns of major reef-associated fish species in the waters of northern South China Sea (eastern Hainan Island) and their implications for marine ranching site selection, this study analyzed data from 12 bottom trawl cruises conducted in the northern South China Sea across five periods: 1963-1965, 1978-1979, 1997-1999, 2006-2007, and 2019-2023, respectively. Combined with 12 environmental factors, including sediment type, water depth, bottom water temperature, bottom salinity, nitrate, phosphate, silicate, dissolved oxygen, phytoplankton, primary productivity, underwater light intensity, and pH, the Maximum Entropy model (MaxEnt) was employed to simulate the suitable habitat distributions of five dominant reef-associated fish species: Pterois russelli, Trisotropis dermopterus, Tetrosomus concatenatus, Chaetodon modestus, and Daicocus peterseni. Key environmental drivers were also identified. The results showed that high-suitability habitats for the five dominant reef-associated fish species in the northern South China Sea were concentrated in the waters around eastern Guangdong-Pearl River Estuary region, at depths of 100-200 m with sandy-silty to silty-sandy sediments. The model exhibited extremely high predictive accuracy, with an average area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) of 0.96. Phosphate, silicate, underwater light intensity, and sediment type were identified as the dominant factors influencing their distribution. Notably, sediment type indirectly regulates fish habitat and foraging behaviors by influencing nutrient cycling and the structure of the benthic community. This study provides the first validation of the limiting effects of phosphorus and silicon nutrients on the distribution of reef-associated fish in the northern South China Sea. A novel marine ranching site selection framework based on three principles, “ecological matching, nutrient buffering, and climate resilience” is proposed, breaking through traditional engineering-oriented site selection logic and offering new perspectives for fishery resource conservation and ecological ranching construction in the northern South China Sea.

     

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