近岸渔业资源调查站位优化设计——以山东半岛北部近岸水域为例

Optimal design of survey stations for inshore fishery resources: a case study of the inshore waters of the Northern Shandong Peninsula

  • 摘要:
    目的 针对传统渔业资源调查中存在的“精度不足”与“成本过高”矛盾,构建精准高效的渔业资源监测体系,实现监测精度与经济性的协同优化。
    方法 本研究采用2023—2025年5月、8月渔业资源调查数据,对比简单随机抽样、循环系统抽样、分层随机抽样3种方法的效能,通过多目标综合评价指数(CREE)的量化分析,确定兼顾精度与经济性的最优抽样方案。
    结果 ①抽样方法效能排序具有一致性,分层随机抽样的CREE最低且稳定性最强,②按区域-季节确定分层标准,5月渤海近岸为≤10 m、10~20 m、>20 m,8月渤海近岸为≤8 m、8~18 m、>18 m,5月黄河口为≤8 m、8~18 m、>18 m,8月黄河口为≤6 m、6~16 m、>16 m;③在CREE≤10%的高精度标准下,单年5月和8月渤海近岸约需35个站位;单年5月黄河口、8月黄河口均约需18个站位;若采用CREE≤15%的常规标准,相应站位数可减少约37.5%。
    结论 研究成果可为渤海近岸及黄河口渔业资源长期监测体系构建提供技术支撑,也为北方河口-近岸复合生态系统抽样方案优化提供科学依据。

     

    Abstract: Coastal ecosystems in the Bohai Sea and the Yellow River Estuary support vital fishery resources but are increasingly threatened by environmental degradation and anthropogenic pressures, necessitating reliable and cost-effective monitoring. To establish an accurate and efficient fishery resource monitoring system and address the contradiction of "insufficient accuracy" and "high cost" in traditional surveys of the coastal waters of the Bohai Sea and the Yellow River Estuary, this study utilized the fishery resource survey data from May and August in 2023 to 2025, compared the efficacy of three sampling methods: simple random sampling, cyclic systematic sampling, and stratified random sampling, and through quantitative analysis using the multi-objective comprehensive evaluation index (CREE), determined the optimal sampling scheme that balances accuracy and economy. The study found ① the ranking of sampling method efficacy is consistent, with stratified random sampling having the lowest CREE and the strongest stability; ② the stratification criteria are determined by region and season: in May of the Bohai Sea coastal area, it is ≤10 m、10-20 m、>20 m; in August, it is ≤8 m, 8-18 m, >18 m; in May of the Yellow River Estuary, it is ≤8 m, 8-18 m, >18 m; in August, it is ≤6 m, 6-16 m, >16 m; ③ under the high accuracy standard of CREE ≤10%, approximately 35 stations are needed for the Bohai Sea coastal area in May and August of a single year; for the Yellow River Estuary in May and August of a single year, approximately 18 stations are needed; if the conventional standard of CREE ≤15% is adopted, the number of stations can be reduced by approximately 37.5%. The research results can provide technical support for the construction of a long-term monitoring system for fishery resources in the Bohai Sea coastal area and the Yellow River Estuary, and also provide scientific basis for the optimization of sampling schemes for the river-mouth-nearshore composite ecosystem in the north.

     

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