南海岛礁渔业土著物种的潜在生境分布、关键环境因子及其在硇洲岛海域的适宜性

Study on the potential habitat distribution and key environmental factors of indigenous fishery species in the island and reef waters of the South China Sea, and Their Suitability in the Waters around Naozhou Island

  • 摘要:
    目的 针对南海岛礁海域养殖与生态保护矛盾突出、近岸养殖空间饱和的问题,明确本土代表性水产养殖物种的潜在生境分布特征及关键调控因子,为该区域养殖布局优化与海洋牧场建设提供科学依据。
    方法 选取南海岛礁水域 11 种本土养殖物种 (3 种螺类和贝类、1 种虾类、7 种鱼类),整合物种分布数据与 48 项海洋环境变量,经多重共线性筛选后保留 21 个核心变量,联合 MaxEnt 模型与 ecospat 模型,模拟物种潜在适宜生境分布,量化关键环境因子贡献率及种间生态位重叠程度,并结合硇洲岛周边 12 个潜在养殖点位开展适宜性综合评价。
    结果 构建的物种生境模型表现优良,11 个物种训练集 AUC 值均 > 0.9,测试集仅日本对虾 AUC 值为 0.8981(良好),其余均 > 0.9(优秀);水深、离岸距离、波高是主导多数物种分布的核心物理因子(贡献率 35.19%~65.42%),营养盐与温度因子呈物种特异性影响;螺类和贝类生态位重叠度较低(Schoener's D=0.1780~0.3871),鱼类部分物种存在高重叠(D>0.5);硇洲岛周边海域为方斑东风螺、大黄鱼、卵形鲳鲹的核心养殖区,东部部分点位可实现多物种协同养殖。
    结论 阐明了南海岛礁本土养殖物种的生境适宜参数与分化规律,明确了物理环境因子的主导调控作用。研究结果为养殖区域精准选划、生态友好型布局提供了量化支撑。

     

    Abstract: Aiming at the prominent contradiction between aquaculture and ecological protection, as well as the saturation of inshore aquaculture space in the island and reef waters of the South China Sea, this study aimed to clarify the potential habitat distribution characteristics and key regulatory factors of indigenous representative aquaculture species, so as to provide scientific basis for the optimization of aquaculture layout and the construction of marine pastures in this region. Eleven indigenous aquaculture species (3 shellfish, 1 shrimp, and 7 fish) in the island and reef waters of the South China Sea were selected. Species distribution data and 48 marine environmental variables were integrated, and 21 core variables were retained after multicollinearity screening. Combined with the MaxEnt model and ecospat model, the distribution of potential suitable habitats for the species was simulated, the contribution rates of key environmental factors and the degree of interspecific niche overlap were quantified, and a comprehensive suitability evaluation was conducted based on 12 potential aquaculture sites around Naozhou Island. The results showed that the constructed species habitat models performed excellently: the AUC values of the training set for all 11 species were > 0.9; in the test set, only the AUC value of Penaeus japonicus was 0.898 1 (good), while the others were > 0.9 (excellent). Water depth, distance to land, and wave height were the core physical factors dominating the distribution of most species (contribution rate: 35.19%-65.42%), and nutrient and temperature factors showed species-specific effects. The niche overlap of shellfish was low (Schoener's D=0.178 0-0.387 1), while some fish species had high niche overlap (D>0.5). The waters around Naozhou Island were the core aquaculture areas for Babylonia areolata, Larimichthys crocea, and Trachinotus ovatus, and multi-species co-culture could be realized at some sites in the eastern part. This study clarified the habitat suitability parameters and differentiation rules of indigenous aquaculture species in the island and reef areas of the South China Sea, and identified the dominant regulatory role of physical environmental factors. The results provide quantitative support for the precise selection of aquaculture areas and the eco-friendly layout.

     

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